We save up the revenue so that we can spend it. Let’s empty our pockets
Darnold had a disappointing outing given the defense he was playing, as well as the game going to OT, but his receivers did him absolutely no favors. D.J. Moore, and Robby Anderson in limited opportunities for that matter, have been reliable weapons up to this point, so there’s no reason to believe that Week 6’s display is something we should come to expect. Along with that comes a very easy schedule, one in which the Panthers will not have CMC to hand the ball off to 29 times, meaning Sam(ono) will be dropping back and slinging it. He draws the Giants in W7, and following that is a putrid Falcons secondary. With some big names on bye these next few weeks (Herbert, Allen, Dak, Cousins, Lamar), Darnold could be a more than viable streaming candidate that would fit nicely into the back-end QB1 conversation.
Similar to Darnold, Derek Carr has an incredibly favorable schedule upcoming, with the only difference being that DC is a little more matchup proof solely because of passing volume. Even if he weren’t facing the Eagles, Giants, Chiefs, Bengals, Cowboys, WFT, and Chiefs again in his next seven outings, he’d still be a fringe QB1. Seeing as these are who he faces in the coming weeks, though, makes Carr an even more enticing player, one who I’d be favoring of all the QBs listed this week. He has QB1 upside, which he has flashed on multiple occasions, and all it’s gonna take to keep it up are favorable matchups, of which there is no shortage of.
Keeping with the theme of elite schedules, we have King Crab Leg Jameis Winston. Not only do the Saints play Seattle, Tampa, Atlanta, Tennessee, and Philly all in a row, but Michael Thomas is back, so JW will finally have a weapon to throw YOLO balls to. The offense has been asburdly conservative to this point, and coming out of the bye, I believe shit’s about to change, getting AK the ball more and letting Winston sling a little. He’s been extremely efficient, but that won’t sustain with the lack of volume, so hopefully Sean Payton will unleash the beast and let the turnovers be offset by the 300+ yard, multi-TD games that are on the way.
Saquon? Dead. Toney? Dead. Golladay? Dead. Sterling Shepard? As inefficient as ever, but hey, volume is king. He’s been active 4x this year, and counting the outing where he played 34% of the snaps, Shepard is averaging 9 targets and 7 receptions per game. He’s what we wanted Keenan Allen to be this year, and if the other targets remain out in New York, I see nothing but WR2/3 performances on the horizon. I mean, why not? If he’s seeing 10+ looks a game, and with his catch %, is hauling in 7 of them, it doesn’t take much to be a consistent weekly producer. The only question here is health, which has always been a factor with SS, but as long as he’s out there, he should be in your lineup.
The former first round blunder is quietly putting together a solid season, getting consistent usage in the deep game and turning those opportunities into outcomes week after week. He’s on pace for over 1,100 yards despite being on pace for only 85 targets, showing he’s one of the most efficient receivers in all of football. The hope is that his usage increases and he sustains a bit of that efficiency, but six weeks in, it seems like he’s cemented in a role where he draws 5-6 targets a game. It’s nothing special, but with his skillset, provides FLEX appeal weekly and should definitely be rostered in all formats. Also, if you read the Derek Carr section, you’ll also notice that he’s got a cake walk of a schedule around the corner, so be on the lookout for some blowup games along the way.
In his first NFL action, Bateman tied for the lead in targets with Mark Andrews on the Ravens (6), turning that into a mediocre 4-29-0 line. Every reception of his went for a first down, which doesn’t mean much aside from the fact that Lamar seems to trust him already. He made a pretty bad drop, but so does everyone every week, so who cares. He’s a high upside rookie who has unlimited potential, especially in as potent of an offense as Baltimore boasts. For now, he’s a WR4, but if you were to tell me he’d be a weekly WR2/3 in a handful of weeks, I wouldn’t be surprised.
Antonio Gibson isn’t 100% at all, and it’s becoming more and more apparent every week. J.D. was on the field for over 60% of the snaps because of it, leading to 18 (!!!) opportunities, 10 of which coming via the receiving game. He doesn’t have the stature or pedigree to lead a back field on the ground, but he’s looking like prime James White at this point, commanding ~15 opportunities a game with the majority coming through the air. His ceiling is capped given the unlikeliness of him commanding goal line work, along with the offense he’s in, but if Gibson were to miss significant time, then JDM would easily slot into a back-end RB2 role. Even if Gibson is active, McKissic is a good enough weapon to draw FLEX consideration weekly, as he gets too much receiving volume to overlook.
It looks like Kareem Hunt is gonna be out for a very long time, and it’s a short week, so I doubt Nick Chubb finds his way onto the field by Thursday. I’m no doctor, and I’m writing this on Monday, so please forgive me if information changes. If Chubb is set to miss this week, or a few more for that matter, would I drop a back on Ernie? No. Unless I was super desperate, which I am. So yes. But for real, let’s paint the picture of this situation. First, they play a stout run defense in the Broncos, which is tough af, second, their QB has one arm, and that arm he has isn’t even all that great, and three, he’s D’Ernest fucking Johnson. He looked good last year, but he’s nowhere near Hunt or Chubb’s level, and he’s going to be splitting carries with Demetric Felton and likely ceding all passing down work to him. I’d still rather own Johnson than Felton, but I doubt DJ does anything more than total 15 touches for a very inefficient output that will be saved solely by a lucky goal line tote, something I’m not looking to rely on. Just imagine a worse Alex Collins. I get it, though, Week 7 is tough with byes and injuries, so it doesn’t hurt to throw 10-15% on the guy.
Much to my surprise, Freeman actually looked really good on Sunday. His few attempts looked by far in a way the best on the team, as Le’Veon Bell moves slower than an ice cream truck on three flats and Latavius Murray is about as mobile as pushing a riding mower. It’s disgusting in Baltimore, but DFree looked like the sole bright spot and it seems like they are showing no allegiance to any one back, leaving the door open for someone to take the job. “The job” still probably only entails 12-15 touches weekly, but on an offense as potent as Baltimore’s, that could be a high-end RB3 option. Not sexy, but useful, and is one injury away from sneaking into the T24 convo.
This is only if Gibson’s injury is serious. I actually really like Patterson. He reminds me of Doug Martin, both his build and playstyle, and looked great in the preseason, for whatever that’s worth. You may not recognize the name if you’re not a degenerate, but you probably heard about him last year, as he was the kid from Buffalo that scored 8 tuddies in one game. He’s a skilled player that, if Gibson were to be out a while, I believe could be a top 24 back. I’d treat him similarly to Khalil Herbert, and we saw the value he brought this past week. Keep an eye on this Washington backfield’s health in the coming days, and even if AG is on track to play, I’d throw a $5 spot on JP due to how often it seems Gibson’s injury flares up.
RSJ benefit heavily from the lack of defense Kansas City boasts, but it doesn’t matter much, he’s an every down tight end that is getting elite usage week after week. The Football Team’s defense is atrocious, and Heinicke can’t throw further than six and a half yards down field, so until Logan Thomas returns, slot in RSJ as a top 10 option, no questions asked.