We save up the revenue so that we can spend it. Let’s empty our pockets
The Law continues to get more comfortable slowing down NFL defenses and uses his legs to spread your legs. Lawrence was Week 5’s QB8 and has rushed for a score in byke to byke games, topping 20 rushing yards in 4 straight. He gets Miami’s pathetic team in Week 6 and will look to flirt with QB1 status again. The rookie is heating up, and you want a piece of whatever he’s cooking in that kitchen.
Wentz played his best game on Monday night against the Ravens in as long as I can remember. Looking at the numbers now, it was literally his best passing game ever – throwing for a career-high 402 yards and two interception-less scores against a stout Baltimore secondary. As Wentz’s ankles near full health, at the same time as this Colts offense, Wentz and the Colts get a juicy Week 6 matchup against the Texans at home. Wentz will be a rock-solid top-15 option in Week 6.
Simply put, even with a healthy Saquon Barkley on the field, it’s difficult to say with a straight face that rookie first-round pick Kadarius Toney isn’t the most explosive, athletic player on Big Blue’s offense. With Jason Garrett FORCED to play the Florida product, he gets to enjoy the fruits of someone else’s labor. He stepped backward into a pool in the Sahara Dessert.
Toney balled tf out to the tune of 10 catches (on 13 targets) for 189 yards, adding 7 rushing as well. He’s just the 9th rookie WR (age 22 or younger) since 1980 to top 185 receiving yards in a game.
Kadarius Toney in two games without Sterling Shepard (hamstring):
* 87-of-132 snaps
* 43 in slot
* 22 targets for a 28% share
* One ejection for punch
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) October 11, 2021
With this entire Giant’s offense in shambles, Toney’s floor seems about as safe as someone’s head that gets punched while wearing a football helmet. Saquon is slated to miss a couple of weeks, Kenny G has already been ruled out for Week 6, Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton have missed the last two weeks with hamstring strains and are no guarantee to suit up against the undermanned Rams secondary who will be without Darius Williams against the Giants. Toney is a slam dunk start in Week 6 and provides real upside for the rest of the season.
With Quintez Cephus sidelined thanks to a broken collarbone, the Lions are down to, well I guess what they started the year with, nothing on the outside. But at least Amon-Ra has proven steady over the last two weeks, seeing 8 targets in each of the Lions last two outings, catching no fewer than 6 passes or going under 65 yards in either.
Tyrell Williams can return from his concussion-caused IR stint in Week 6, but that’s far from guaranteed, and at this point are we sure Tyrell has anything left in the fuckin tank? And I mean, a 3-week concussion? Sounds pretty serious.
With only D’Andre Swift and T.J. Hockenson being the only NFL-level talent on Detroit’s offense, look for Saint Brown to bless your lineups as a PPR flex play going forward.
There’s nothing I can tell you about Renfrow that you don’t already know – he’s Cole Beasley with a more narrow weekly range of outcomes. He’s caught 5+ passes in every game this year, but hasn’t topped 77 yards. You get what you see. If he scores, you’ll be happy, if he doesn’t he’ll get your 9-10 PPR points.
I don’t really want anything to do with Hardman as it relates to my fantasy lineups, but both Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce got knicked up in the Chiefs Week 5 game. Neither are expected to be serious, but Hardman is the next man up if either guy misses time, especially Hill. It’s a long shot, but so will those from Mahomes to Hardman be if Hill is out.
The Ravens decided to let Bateman sit out Week 5 and let him get fully ready for his return to the gridiron after his IR stay following groin surgery. Bateman is a stupidly talented rookie WR that runs crispy routes and should be a welcome sight to Lamar Jackson who is red hot through the air right now. The idea of Bateman in redraft is admittedly far less exciting at this point in the season after Hollywood Brown has cemented himself as the alpha in this passing game on the outside, but Bateman is good enough to warrant flex value after a few weeks of getting his feet wet in the NFL.
With CEH placed on the short-term IR thanks to an MCL sprain, Darrel Williams immediately becomes Week 6’s prized RB waiver wire possession. After Clyde exited, Williams rocked 6 of the 7 RB touches for the Chiefs.
Kansas City final HB snap count #BUFvsKC
Darrel Williams 37
Jerick McKinnon 27
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 22 (injured)
Out of 86
— Nathan Jahnke (@PFF_NateJahnke) October 11, 2021
Through 5 games, Jerick McKinnon has a total of 1 carry. This backfield is Williams’, and despite the rumors of their demise, the Chiefs are scoring 30.8 points per game in 2021, 5th highest total in the NFL, and would be top-2 in any of the previous 5 years. This is still very much a backfield you want to own, and one that’s even more condensed thanks to this injury.
Williams will be a fantasy RB2 for at least the next three weeks and with all the injuries to the position plus bye weeks, he’s worth the guap you’re going to have to drop to secure him.
With Saquon sidelined for a hot minute, Booker will operate as New York’s workhorse, seeing 20 opportunities (16 carries, 4 targets) on Sunday after Barkley left with his ankle sprain. Booker scored twice but like a backboard-less basketball hoop, we’re not banking on that. Gary Brightwell, the Giants rookie running back was active but didnt play a single snap against the Cowboys. Over the next month, the Giants take on LAR, CAR, KC and LV before their bye.
You can definitely do worse than Booker right now. he’ll be a low efficiency, high-floor guy – usually resulting in 60+ yards, 3-4 receptions and if he gets lucky will get into the EZ.
Bears RB usage in their first game without David Montgomery (knee):— John Daigle (@notJDaigle) October 11, 2021
Khalil Herbert 34-of-64 snaps, 18 carries, 7 routes (on 26 drop backs), 0 targets
Damien Williams 31 snaps, 16 carries, 10 routes, 3 targets
Williams also with 3-of-4 carries inside the 10.
It’s possible that two Bears backs were splitting time because Damien Williams was a little banged up (quad), but it sure didn’t feel like that watching this game. Herbert was getting too much work for comfort as someone that grabbed Damien Williams in a lot of leagues. Williams is still probably the pass-catcher here, but Herbert is a good runner and I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw the carries come down to a near-even split between D-Willy and the Herbenator. It’ll be super hard to trust Herbert in your fantasy lineups right now, but he’s someone you want to have rostered in case he continues to sneak to the kitchen past midnight and take more and more of the pie that Uncle Matt brought over this weekend.
With Chris Carson basically paralyzed for life, Alex Collins operated as Seattle’s workhorse on TNF, playing on 71% of snaps, handling 15-of-20 running back carries and seeing 50% of the running back targets. It didn’t result in much, and neither will this offense now being led by Geno Smith, but if Carson’s injury status remains on the negative side, Collins will be the main beneficiary. I don’t see his outlook ever surpassing that of a low-end RB2/flex play, but at this point, you can do a lot worse.
If either Dalton Schultz or Dawson Knox are available on your waiver wire, which I don’t expect them to be, you pick them up asap, and in that order.
Hunter Henry has scored in back-to-back games for the Pats and is starting to separate himself from Jonnu as far as playtime is concerned. He’s run 135 routes compared to 71 for Jonnu, and is playing in the slot on 64% vs. 33% which are nice on the surface but I still have cause for pessimism. Jonnu has two times as many (6-3) redzone targets on the year as Henry, and this was Henry first game going over 42 receiving yards. This feels like a situation we get excited about, only to pick up a tight end and he’ll post 26 yards the next week. He’s probably the best available option on your wire, but that doesn’t mean it’s a great one. Just temper expectations.
RSJ stepped immediately into Logan Thomas’ role, playing on 99% of WFT’s snaps, catching 5-of-8 targets for 41 yards. Curtis Samuel is out indefinitely, and Ryan Fitzpatrick is eyeing a Week 7 return. RSJ is a really strong low-end TE1 option that needs to be getting more attention.
Arnold’s been on Jacksonville for about 11 seconds and is already bullying the other pass-catching weapons. Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault did absolute dick against a miserable Tennessee secondary, leaving me with 0 confidence ever playing either of them again, but in just a couple of weeks, Dan Arnold is shaping up to be a real part of this Jags offense, seeing a team-high 8 targets on Sunday, catching 6 of them for 64 yards.
Lawrence seems to be locking onto his subpar tight ends, from James O’somethingessy to Arnold, and it’s paying dividends in fantasy. Arnold should be rostered in all 12+ team and TE premium leagues moving forward.